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PA.I.C.R1c

Risk management

Making the go/no-go and continue/divert decisions, including:

Hazardous weather conditions, including known or forecast icing or turbulence aloft

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Get a short, cited explanation of this element written from the FAA handbooks: the core idea, the numbers that matter, common test traps, and a quick self-check.

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From the FAA library

  • 3 Overview of Aviation Weather Information › 3.4.2 Summaries of Specific Weather Information Contained in Various Weather Products › 3.4.2.7 Products with In-Flight Icing Information

    moderate icing. CWA T, G May be issued for moderate or greater icing. Forecasts Aviation Clouds Forecast G Includes a depiction of icing AIRMETs. Alaska Area Forecast T May includes a description of icing not meeting AIRMET criteria otherwise ... America and Caribbean Area Forecast Medium-Level SIGWX G Areas moderate or severe icing are depicted. WAFS G Global icing forecasts provided in a grid point format. Five icing forecast graphics derived from computer model data for the following: - Icing…

  • 27 Forecasts › 27.13 Forecast Icing Product (FIP)

    freezing levels aloft. More information on the freezing level forecast graphics is available on the AWC’s website. 27.13 Forecast Icing Product (FIP) The NWS produces the Forecast Icing Product which is derived from NWS computer model data with ... forecaster modifications. The FIP provides the same suite of products as the CIP (see Section 25.5), describing the icing environment in the future and being solely NWP model based. Information on the graphics is determined from NWP model output; observational…

  • 27 Forecasts › 27.8.1 WAFS Forecasts › 27.8.1.4 WAFS Turbulence, Icing, and Cumulonimbus Cloud Forecasts

    cloud forecasts are actually a blend of the WAFC Washington global turbulence, icing, and cumulonimbus cloud forecasts and the WAFC London global turbulence, icing, and cumulonimbus cloud forecasts. In other words, each WAFC produces their own global turbulence, icing ... forecasts using their own global computer models (WAFC Washington uses the NCEP’s GFS model). The two WAFCs’ forecasts, for turbulence, icing, and cumulonimbus cloud only, are then merged together to eliminate any differences between the two sets of forecasts…

  • 27 Forecasts › 27.1 Introduction

    Graphical Aviation Forecast (GFA) • Area Forecasts (FA), Alaska FA • Alaska Graphical Forecasts: o Flying Weather o Surface Forecast o Icing Forecast o Turbulence Forecast o Convective Outlook • World Area Forecast System (WAFS) Forecasts • Significant Weather (SIGWX) Forecasts: o Low-Level ... Level o High-Level • Surface Prognostic Forecasts • Upper Air Forecasts • Freezing Level Forecasts • Forecast Icing Product (FIP) • Graphical Turbulence Guidance (GTG) Forecasts • Cloud Tops Forecasts • Localized Aviation Model Output Statistics (MOS) Program (LAMP) Forecasts o Alaska Aviation Guidance (AAG) Weather…

  • 27 Forecasts › 27.7 Alaska Graphical Forecasts › 27.7.2 Alaska Surface Forecast

    hours with forecasts valid for 00Z, 06Z, 12Z, and 18Z. Figure 27-5. Alaska Surface Forecast Example 27.7.3 Alaska Icing Forecast The Icing Forecast graphic (see Figure 27-6) provides information about freezing levels and the potential for significant icing ... greater severe icing). These forecasts are issued every eight hours and amended as needed. Figure 27-6. Alaska Icing Forecast Example…

  • 27 Forecasts › 27.7 Alaska Graphical Forecasts › 27.7.1 AAWU Flying Weather

    Alaska (see Section 27.6.4.1). These forecasts are available from the AAWU’s website. Forecasts include: • Flying Weather, • Surface Forecast, • Icing Forecast, • Turbulence Forecast, and • Convective Outlook (seasonal product and only issued from May 1 through September 30). Additional products…